Serie A
Inter vs Parma
Sunday, May 03, 18:45
Consensus
High confidence · 74.7%Inter
73.6%
Draw
17.7%
Parma
8.8%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 70.5% | 24.0% | 5.5% |
| poisson | 75.6% | 15.6% | 8.9% |
| elo | 71.0% | 15.0% | 14.0% |
- Inter wPPG 2.20 (home 2.17, W-W-L-W-L)
- Parma wPPG 1.05 (away 1.40, D-D-L-L-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 1.60
- xG Inter 2.17 vs Parma 0.56
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Inter 1655 vs Parma 1433
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).