Serie A
Sassuolo vs Milan
Sunday, May 03, 13:00
Consensus
Low confidence · 17.7%Sassuolo
35.6%
Draw
28.8%
Milan
35.6%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 27.4% | 38.6% | 34.0% |
| poisson | 42.6% | 22.1% | 35.3% |
| elo | 32.9% | 30.9% | 36.2% |
- Sassuolo wPPG 1.47 (home 1.00, L-W-W-D-L)
- Milan wPPG 1.94 (away 1.60, W-D-D-W-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.14
- xG Sassuolo 1.57 vs Milan 1.40
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Sassuolo 1497 vs Milan 1573
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).