Serie A
Napoli vs Bologna
Sunday, May 10, 13:00
Consensus
High confidence · 81.1%Napoli
85.3%
Draw
10.4%
Bologna
4.3%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 73.8% | 24.0% | 2.2% |
| poisson | 92.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% |
| elo | 73.8% | 15.0% | 11.2% |
- Napoli wPPG 2.44 (home 3.00, W-W-W-W-L)
- Bologna wPPG 0.89 (away 1.00, L-W-L-D-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 2.18
- xG Napoli 6.26 vs Bologna 1.67
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Napoli 1664 vs Bologna 1396
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).