Serie A
Cremonese vs Lazio
Monday, May 04, 16:30
Consensus
Low confidence · 35.4%Cremonese
28.8%
Draw
44.4%
Lazio
26.8%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 21.7% | 35.8% | 42.6% |
| poisson | 29.8% | 58.1% | 12.1% |
| elo | 27.5% | 25.9% | 46.7% |
- Cremonese wPPG 0.86 (home 0.60, D-D-D-L-D)
- Lazio wPPG 1.76 (away 1.00, D-W-D-W-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.42
- xG Cremonese 0.42 vs Lazio 0.19
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Cremonese 1400 vs Lazio 1552
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).