Serie A
Pisa vs Lecce
Sunday, May 03, 13:00
Consensus
Low confidence · 43.9%Pisa
33.2%
Draw
50.0%
Lecce
16.8%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 33.9% | 38.7% | 27.4% |
| poisson | 27.2% | 65.7% | 7.1% |
| elo | 35.0% | 31.5% | 33.5% |
- Pisa wPPG 0.68 (home 1.50, L-L-D-L-D)
- Lecce wPPG 1.10 (away 1.20, L-D-W-D-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.13
- xG Pisa 0.35 vs Lecce 0.10
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Pisa 1379 vs Lecce 1432
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).