Serie A
Fiorentina vs Sassuolo
Sunday, Apr 26, 10:30
Consensus
Low confidence · 36.2%Fiorentina
45.1%
book 48.8%
Draw
29.0%
book 26.5%
Sassuolo
25.9%
book 24.7%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 28.2% | 39.1% | 32.8% |
| poisson | 60.2% | 23.0% | 16.9% |
| elo | 32.2% | 30.2% | 37.6% |
| market | 48.8% | 26.5% | 24.7% |
- Fiorentina wPPG 0.79 (home 1.80, L-L-L-W-L)
- Sassuolo wPPG 1.47 (away 1.67, L-W-W-D-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.09
- xG Fiorentina 1.57 vs Sassuolo 0.67
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Fiorentina 1410 vs Sassuolo 1497
- Home-field bonus +60
- Devigged consensus of bookmaker 1X2 prices
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).