Premier League
Arsenal vs Fulham
Saturday, May 02, 16:30
Consensus
High confidence · 73.7%Arsenal
72.1%
book 66.2%
Draw
16.5%
book 21.4%
Fulham
11.4%
book 12.4%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 68.8% | 25.0% | 6.2% |
| poisson | 78.8% | 9.1% | 12.1% |
| elo | 69.3% | 15.0% | 15.7% |
| market | 66.2% | 21.4% | 12.4% |
- Arsenal wPPG 2.71 (home 2.50, W-W-W-W-W)
- Fulham wPPG 1.57 (away 1.50, L-W-W-L-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 1.50
- xG Arsenal 7.61 vs Fulham 3.61
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Arsenal 1712 vs Fulham 1514
- Home-field bonus +60
- Devigged consensus of bookmaker 1X2 prices
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).