Premier League
Sunderland vs Manchester United
Saturday, May 09, 14:00
Consensus
Medium confidence · 55.8%Sunderland
61.8%
Draw
21.0%
Manchester United
17.2%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 46.9% | 34.3% | 18.8% |
| poisson | 79.1% | 10.9% | 10.0% |
| elo | 41.3% | 28.4% | 30.3% |
- Sunderland wPPG 1.69 (home 2.00, W-L-W-W-D)
- Manchester United wPPG 1.64 (away 1.33, L-W-L-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.57
- xG Sunderland 3.48 vs Manchester United 1.25
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Sunderland 1515 vs Manchester United 1521
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).