Premier League
Manchester United vs Liverpool
Sunday, May 03, 14:30
Consensus
Low confidence · 38.5%Manchester United
46.0%
Draw
27.5%
Liverpool
26.5%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 33.6% | 38.8% | 27.7% |
| poisson | 61.8% | 18.7% | 19.6% |
| elo | 32.9% | 30.8% | 36.3% |
- Manchester United wPPG 1.64 (home 2.25, L-W-L-W-W)
- Liverpool wPPG 1.96 (away 1.80, D-D-W-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.12
- xG Manchester United 2.09 vs Liverpool 1.07
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Manchester United 1521 vs Liverpool 1598
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).