Premier League
Fulham vs Bournemouth
Saturday, May 09, 14:00
Consensus
Medium confidence · 67.7%Fulham
74.8%
Draw
14.6%
Bournemouth
10.6%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 59.4% | 29.5% | 11.1% |
| poisson | 88.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% |
| elo | 52.3% | 23.2% | 24.5% |
- Fulham wPPG 1.57 (home 1.50, L-W-W-L-W)
- Bournemouth wPPG 1.19 (away 0.40, D-D-W-D-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 1.05
- xG Fulham 5.87 vs Bournemouth 1.87
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Fulham 1514 vs Bournemouth 1442
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).