Premier League
Wolverhampton vs Sunderland
Saturday, May 02, 14:00
Consensus
Low confidence · 46.7%Wolverhampton
24.6%
book 32.3%
Draw
25.6%
book 28.2%
Sunderland
49.8%
book 39.6%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 6.2% | 25.0% | 68.8% |
| poisson | 41.6% | 23.6% | 34.8% |
| elo | 17.6% | 16.8% | 65.6% |
| market | 32.3% | 28.2% | 39.6% |
- Wolverhampton wPPG 0.00 (home 0.00, L-L-L-L-L)
- Sunderland wPPG 1.69 (away 1.17, W-L-W-W-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -1.50
- xG Wolverhampton 1.39 vs Sunderland 1.24
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Wolverhampton 1227 vs Sunderland 1515
- Home-field bonus +60
- Devigged consensus of bookmaker 1X2 prices
Value bets
- away 2.35EV +17.0%Edge 10.2%Kelly 12.6%