Premier League
Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace
Sunday, May 03, 13:00
Consensus
Low confidence · 45.2%Bournemouth
52.3%
Draw
23.9%
Crystal Palace
23.8%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 30.5% | 39.8% | 29.7% |
| poisson | 72.1% | 13.0% | 14.9% |
| elo | 40.2% | 28.9% | 30.9% |
- Bournemouth wPPG 1.19 (home 1.60, D-D-W-D-W)
- Crystal Palace wPPG 1.32 (away 1.80, L-W-W-W-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.02
- xG Bournemouth 3.41 vs Crystal Palace 1.60
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Bournemouth 1442 vs Crystal Palace 1456
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).