Ligue 1
Toulouse vs Olympique Lyonnais
Sunday, May 10, 19:00
Consensus
Low confidence · 11.1%Toulouse
33.2%
Draw
34.2%
Olympique Lyonnais
32.7%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 30.2% | 39.9% | 29.9% |
| poisson | 34.9% | 32.3% | 32.9% |
| elo | 33.4% | 31.4% | 35.3% |
- Toulouse wPPG 1.16 (home 1.20, L-D-W-W-L)
- Olympique Lyonnais wPPG 1.36 (away 1.00, D-L-L-D-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.01
- xG Toulouse 0.83 vs Olympique Lyonnais 0.80
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Toulouse 1475 vs Olympique Lyonnais 1544
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).