Ligue 1
AS Monaco vs Lille
Sunday, May 10, 19:00
Consensus
Low confidence · 29.3%AS Monaco
28.1%
Draw
32.4%
Lille
39.6%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 22.1% | 36.0% | 41.9% |
| poisson | 31.5% | 32.8% | 35.7% |
| elo | 29.2% | 27.4% | 43.3% |
- AS Monaco wPPG 1.39 (home 1.50, W-L-W-L-L)
- Lille wPPG 1.96 (away 1.50, W-L-L-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.40
- xG AS Monaco 0.76 vs Lille 0.83
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo AS Monaco 1464 vs Lille 1593
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).