Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg
Sunday, Apr 26, 15:30
Consensus
Medium confidence · 60.6%Borussia Dortmund
68.2%
book 65.9%
Draw
18.4%
book 20.8%
SC Freiburg
13.4%
book 13.4%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 44.0% | 35.3% | 20.7% |
| poisson | 90.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% |
| elo | 37.2% | 30.4% | 32.4% |
| market | 65.9% | 20.8% | 13.4% |
- Borussia Dortmund wPPG 1.62 (home 1.60, W-L-D-D-W)
- SC Freiburg wPPG 1.90 (away 1.00, W-L-D-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.47
- xG Borussia Dortmund 5.26 vs SC Freiburg 1.40
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Borussia Dortmund 1537 vs SC Freiburg 1574
- Home-field bonus +60
- Devigged consensus of bookmaker 1X2 prices
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).