Bundesliga
1. FC Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln
Saturday, May 02, 13:30
Consensus
Medium confidence · 65.8%1. FC Union Berlin
66.1%
Draw
20.2%
1. FC Köln
13.7%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 59.5% | 29.5% | 11.0% |
| poisson | 72.3% | 15.7% | 12.1% |
| elo | 60.1% | 19.5% | 20.4% |
- 1. FC Union Berlin wPPG 1.48 (home 1.50, D-L-W-W-L)
- 1. FC Köln wPPG 0.81 (away 0.80, D-L-L-W-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 1.05
- xG 1. FC Union Berlin 2.32 vs 1. FC Köln 0.80
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo 1. FC Union Berlin 1515 vs 1. FC Köln 1388
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).