Bundesliga
Borussia M'gladbach vs Borussia Dortmund
Sunday, May 03, 15:30
Consensus
Medium confidence · 51.9%Borussia M'gladbach
53.7%
Draw
25.8%
Borussia Dortmund
20.5%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 46.3% | 34.5% | 19.2% |
| poisson | 60.8% | 21.1% | 18.0% |
| elo | 48.6% | 24.9% | 26.4% |
- Borussia M'gladbach wPPG 1.82 (home 2.00, D-W-L-L-W)
- Borussia Dortmund wPPG 1.62 (away 1.60, W-L-D-D-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.55
- xG Borussia M'gladbach 1.74 vs Borussia Dortmund 0.80
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Borussia M'gladbach 1583 vs Borussia Dortmund 1537
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).