Bundesliga
RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli
Saturday, May 09, 13:30
Consensus
High confidence · 81.3%RB Leipzig
84.3%
Draw
12.3%
FC St. Pauli
3.5%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 74.5% | 24.0% | 1.5% |
| poisson | 90.1% | 6.6% | 3.3% |
| elo | 76.2% | 15.0% | 8.8% |
- RB Leipzig wPPG 2.01 (home 2.60, D-D-W-W-W)
- FC St. Pauli wPPG 0.56 (away 0.67, L-L-L-W-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 2.44
- xG RB Leipzig 3.48 vs FC St. Pauli 0.56
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo RB Leipzig 1641 vs FC St. Pauli 1325
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).