Bundesliga
TSG Hoffenheim vs SV Werder Bremen
Saturday, May 09, 13:30
Consensus
High confidence · 71.0%TSG Hoffenheim
78.6%
Draw
13.8%
SV Werder Bremen
7.5%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 59.9% | 29.3% | 10.8% |
| poisson | 91.8% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| elo | 57.3% | 20.8% | 21.9% |
- TSG Hoffenheim wPPG 1.86 (home 2.40, L-W-W-L-W)
- SV Werder Bremen wPPG 1.54 (away 1.00, W-L-L-W-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 1.07
- xG TSG Hoffenheim 3.76 vs SV Werder Bremen 0.56
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo TSG Hoffenheim 1600 vs SV Werder Bremen 1492
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).