LaLiga
Real Betis vs Real Madrid
Friday, Apr 24, 19:00
Consensus
Low confidence · 38.3%Real Betis
41.6%
book 24.3%
Draw
23.4%
book 24.3%
Real Madrid
35.0%
book 51.4%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 36.0% | 38.0% | 26.1% |
| poisson | 59.5% | 13.9% | 26.6% |
| elo | 48.9% | 24.8% | 26.3% |
| market | 24.3% | 24.3% | 51.4% |
- Real Betis wPPG 2.22 (home 2.00, W-W-W-L-W)
- Real Madrid wPPG 1.84 (away 2.00, W-L-L-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.20
- xG Real Betis 4.35 vs Real Madrid 3.11
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Real Betis 1627 vs Real Madrid 1579
- Home-field bonus +60
- Devigged consensus of bookmaker 1X2 prices
Value bets
- home 3.80EV +58.0%Edge 17.3%Kelly 20.7%