LaLiga

Espanyol vs Levante UD

Monday, Apr 27, 19:00

Consensus

Medium confidence · 50.6%
Espanyol
51.9%
book 50.4%
Draw
24.1%
book 27.4%
Levante UD
24.0%
book 22.2%

Per-model

ModelHomeDrawAway
form51.4%32.7%16.0%
poisson49.9%17.1%33.0%
elo54.4%22.2%23.4%
market50.4%27.4%22.2%
  • Espanyol wPPG 1.44 (home 1.40, W-L-D-D-L)
  • Levante UD wPPG 0.98 (away 1.14, D-W-L-L-D)
  • Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.73
  • xG Espanyol 2.78 vs Levante UD 2.29
  • League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
  • Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
  • Elo Espanyol 1488 vs Levante UD 1401
  • Home-field bonus +60
  • Devigged consensus of bookmaker 1X2 prices

Value bets

No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).

Predictions are statistical estimates, not financial advice. Bet responsibly.

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