LaLiga
Valencia vs Girona FC
Saturday, Apr 25, 16:30
Consensus
Low confidence · 22.3%Valencia
38.7%
book 45.3%
Draw
29.5%
book 27.3%
Girona FC
31.8%
book 27.3%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 33.0% | 39.0% | 28.0% |
| poisson | 33.8% | 26.3% | 39.9% |
| elo | 40.3% | 28.9% | 30.8% |
| market | 45.3% | 27.3% | 27.3% |
- Valencia wPPG 0.90 (home 1.00, L-L-D-L-W)
- Girona FC wPPG 1.13 (away 1.00, D-L-D-D-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.10
- xG Valencia 1.04 vs Girona FC 1.17
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Valencia 1428 vs Girona FC 1442
- Home-field bonus +60
- Devigged consensus of bookmaker 1X2 prices
Value bets
- away 3.40EV +8.2%Edge 4.5%Kelly 3.4%