LaLiga
Celta Vigo vs Elche
Sunday, May 03, 12:00
Consensus
Medium confidence · 53.8%Celta Vigo
57.1%
Draw
23.8%
Elche
19.1%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 44.7% | 35.1% | 20.3% |
| poisson | 69.6% | 16.4% | 14.0% |
| elo | 46.9% | 25.8% | 27.4% |
- Celta Vigo wPPG 1.38 (home 1.50, L-L-W-W-L)
- Elche wPPG 1.24 (away 1.00, W-L-D-L-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.49
- xG Celta Vigo 2.28 vs Elche 0.89
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Celta Vigo 1504 vs Elche 1471
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).