Ligue 1
Paris Saint-Germain vs Nantes
Wednesday, Apr 22, 17:00
Consensus
High confidence · 79.1%Paris Saint-Germain
78.5%
book 78.6%
Draw
15.0%
book 14.3%
Nantes
6.5%
book 7.1%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 73.8% | 24.0% | 2.2% |
| poisson | 80.6% | 11.1% | 8.3% |
| elo | 73.8% | 15.0% | 11.2% |
| market | 78.6% | 14.3% | 7.1% |
- Paris Saint-Germain wPPG 2.17 (home 2.50, W-L-W-D-W)
- Nantes wPPG 0.82 (away 1.00, L-L-W-L-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 2.20
- xG Paris Saint-Germain 3.04 vs Nantes 0.89
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Paris Saint-Germain 1664 vs Nantes 1396
- Home-field bonus +60
- Devigged consensus of bookmaker 1X2 prices
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).