Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Metz
Sunday, Apr 26, 15:15
Consensus
High confidence · 71.8%Le Havre
72.6%
book 49.4%
Draw
16.2%
book 27.0%
Metz
11.2%
book 23.6%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 66.4% | 26.2% | 7.3% |
| poisson | 93.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| elo | 62.6% | 18.3% | 19.1% |
| market | 49.4% | 27.0% | 23.6% |
- Le Havre wPPG 1.17 (home 1.60, L-W-L-D-D)
- Metz wPPG 0.55 (away 0.50, L-L-D-L-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 1.38
- xG Le Havre 4.87 vs Metz 0.93
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Le Havre 1451 vs Metz 1305
- Home-field bonus +60
- Devigged consensus of bookmaker 1X2 prices
Value bets
- home 1.91EV +38.7%Edge 23.2%Kelly 42.5%