Ligue 1
Olympique Lyonnais vs Auxerre
Saturday, Apr 25, 13:00
Consensus
High confidence · 77.2%Olympique Lyonnais
78.9%
book 56.9%
Draw
14.2%
book 26.1%
Auxerre
6.9%
book 17.1%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 72.2% | 24.0% | 3.8% |
| poisson | 96.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| elo | 65.3% | 16.9% | 17.8% |
| market | 56.9% | 26.1% | 17.1% |
- Olympique Lyonnais wPPG 1.36 (home 2.40, D-L-L-D-W)
- Auxerre wPPG 0.88 (away 0.20, W-L-L-L-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 1.85
- xG Olympique Lyonnais 4.21 vs Auxerre 0.32
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Olympique Lyonnais 1544 vs Auxerre 1378
- Home-field bonus +60
- Devigged consensus of bookmaker 1X2 prices
Value bets
- home 1.65EV +30.1%Edge 22.0%Kelly 46.4%