Ligue 1
Paris Saint-Germain vs Lorient
Saturday, May 02, 15:00
Consensus
High confidence · 83.0%Paris Saint-Germain
91.3%
Draw
6.6%
Lorient
2.1%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 73.6% | 24.0% | 2.4% |
| poisson | 98.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| elo | 71.3% | 15.0% | 13.7% |
- Paris Saint-Germain wPPG 2.17 (home 2.50, W-L-W-D-W)
- Lorient wPPG 1.09 (away 0.40, D-W-L-D-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 2.15
- xG Paris Saint-Germain 5.48 vs Lorient 0.44
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Paris Saint-Germain 1664 vs Lorient 1437
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).