Ligue 1
Nantes vs Olympique de Marseille
Friday, May 01, 18:45
Consensus
High confidence · 71.3%Nantes
8.0%
Draw
13.3%
Olympique de Marseille
78.7%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 8.5% | 27.4% | 64.2% |
| poisson | 3.5% | 5.3% | 91.2% |
| elo | 22.6% | 21.5% | 56.0% |
- Nantes wPPG 0.82 (home 0.80, L-L-W-L-D)
- Olympique de Marseille wPPG 1.88 (away 2.25, L-W-W-W-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -1.26
- xG Nantes 1.04 vs Olympique de Marseille 4.67
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Nantes 1396 vs Olympique de Marseille 1613
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).