Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Angers
Sunday, May 03, 15:15
Consensus
Low confidence · 48.5%Auxerre
52.4%
Draw
29.8%
Angers
17.9%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 45.7% | 34.7% | 19.6% |
| poisson | 63.1% | 25.5% | 11.5% |
| elo | 39.3% | 29.4% | 31.3% |
- Auxerre wPPG 0.88 (home 1.20, W-L-L-L-W)
- Angers wPPG 0.85 (away 0.40, D-D-L-L-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.53
- xG Auxerre 1.39 vs Angers 0.40
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Auxerre 1378 vs Angers 1398
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).