MLB
Colorado Rockies vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Sunday, Apr 19, 00:10
Consensus
Medium confidence · 66.1%Colorado Rockies
32.4%
book 28.1%
Los Angeles Dodgers
67.6%
book 71.9%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 39.2% | 60.8% |
| poisson | 25.8% | 74.2% |
| elo | 46.6% | 53.4% |
| market | 28.1% | 71.9% |
- Colorado Rockies wPPG 0.99 (home 1.50, W-L-L-W-L)
- Los Angeles Dodgers wPPG 1.31 (away 2.25, L-W-W-L-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.27
- xG Colorado Rockies 9.32 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 16.96
- League avg: home 4.60 / away 4.40
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Colorado Rockies 1438 vs Los Angeles Dodgers 1521
- Home-field bonus +60
- Devigged consensus of bookmaker Money line prices
Value bets
- home 3.40EV +10.1%Edge 4.3%Kelly 4.2%