MLB
Athletics vs Chicago White Sox
Saturday, Apr 18, 20:05
Consensus
High confidence · 85.1%Athletics
87.3%
book 59.9%
Chicago White Sox
12.7%
book 40.1%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 98.3% | 1.7% |
| poisson | 96.6% | 3.4% |
| elo | 88.8% | 11.2% |
| market | 59.9% | 40.1% |
- Athletics wPPG 1.19 (home 2.40, W-W-L-W-L)
- Chicago White Sox wPPG 0.49 (away 0.00, L-L-W-W-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 2.54
- xG Athletics 14.77 vs Chicago White Sox 3.69
- League avg: home 4.60 / away 4.40
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Athletics 1568 vs Chicago White Sox 1269
- Home-field bonus +60
- Devigged consensus of bookmaker Money line prices
Value bets
- home 1.61EV +40.5%Edge 27.4%Kelly 66.4%