MLB
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Tampa Bay Rays
Sunday, Apr 19, 17:35
Consensus
Low confidence · 49.2%Pittsburgh Pirates
53.4%
Tampa Bay Rays
46.6%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 39.5% | 60.5% |
| poisson | 68.8% | 31.2% |
| elo | 40.7% | 59.3% |
- Pittsburgh Pirates wPPG 0.38 (home 1.20, L-L-L-W-L)
- Tampa Bay Rays wPPG 1.08 (away 1.00, W-W-L-L-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.27
- xG Pittsburgh Pirates 5.73 vs Tampa Bay Rays 4.17
- League avg: home 4.60 / away 4.40
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Pittsburgh Pirates 1257 vs Tampa Bay Rays 1382
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).