MLB
Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves
Sunday, Apr 19, 23:20
Consensus
Low confidence · 49.6%Philadelphia Phillies
43.8%
Atlanta Braves
56.2%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 23.3% | 76.7% |
| poisson | 66.0% | 34.0% |
| elo | 31.4% | 68.6% |
- Philadelphia Phillies wPPG 1.06 (home 2.00, W-W-L-L-W)
- Atlanta Braves wPPG 1.64 (away 1.80, W-W-W-L-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.75
- xG Philadelphia Phillies 3.18 vs Atlanta Braves 2.35
- League avg: home 4.60 / away 4.40
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Philadelphia Phillies 1440 vs Atlanta Braves 1636
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).