K League 1

Ulsan HD vs Daejeon Hana Citizen

Sunday, Apr 26, 07:30

Consensus

Medium confidence · 53.3%
Ulsan HD
54.7%
Daejeon Hana Citizen
45.3%

Per-model

ModelHomeAway
form47.2%52.8%
poisson63.7%36.3%
elo46.7%53.3%
  • Ulsan HD wPPG 0.64 (home 1.75, L-L-L-D-W)
  • Daejeon Hana Citizen wPPG 1.07 (away 1.17, W-L-W-L-L)
  • Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.07
  • xG Ulsan HD 0.46 vs Daejeon Hana Citizen 0.28
  • League avg: home 3.10 / away 2.90
  • Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
  • Elo Ulsan HD 1375 vs Daejeon Hana Citizen 1458
  • Home-field bonus +60

Value bets

No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).

Predictions are statistical estimates, not financial advice. Bet responsibly.

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