K League 1

Gwangju FC vs Daejeon Hana Citizen

Saturday, May 02, 10:00

Consensus

Medium confidence · 66.8%
Gwangju FC
64.6%
Daejeon Hana Citizen
35.4%

Per-model

ModelHomeAway
form64.8%35.2%
poisson67.3%32.7%
elo59.6%40.4%
  • Gwangju FC wPPG 1.08 (home 1.57, D-W-W-L-D)
  • Daejeon Hana Citizen wPPG 1.07 (away 1.17, W-L-W-L-L)
  • Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.38
  • xG Gwangju FC 0.59 vs Daejeon Hana Citizen 0.32
  • League avg: home 3.10 / away 2.90
  • Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
  • Elo Gwangju FC 1466 vs Daejeon Hana Citizen 1458
  • Home-field bonus +60

Value bets

No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).

Predictions are statistical estimates, not financial advice. Bet responsibly.

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