K League 1

Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Incheon United

Saturday, May 09, 07:30

Consensus

Medium confidence · 65.3%
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
64.6%
Incheon United
35.4%

Per-model

ModelHomeAway
form71.0%29.0%
poisson57.5%42.5%
elo68.7%31.3%
  • Gimcheon Sangmu FC wPPG 1.37 (home 2.17, D-W-D-W-L)
  • Incheon United wPPG 0.94 (away 1.83, L-W-D-L-W)
  • Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.56
  • xG Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0.75 vs Incheon United 0.59
  • League avg: home 3.10 / away 2.90
  • Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
  • Elo Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1533 vs Incheon United 1457
  • Home-field bonus +60

Value bets

No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).

Predictions are statistical estimates, not financial advice. Bet responsibly.

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