WNBA
Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury
Saturday, May 09, 19:30
Consensus
High confidence · 78.8%Las Vegas Aces
77.1%
Phoenix Mercury
22.9%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 81.2% | 18.8% |
| normal | 76.3% | 23.7% |
| elo | 73.2% | 26.8% |
- Las Vegas Aces wPPG 1.70 (home 2.57, W-L-W-W-W)
- Phoenix Mercury wPPG 0.93 (away 1.50, L-L-W-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.92
- Expected score Las Vegas Aces 68.9 vs Phoenix Mercury 62.8
- Margin μ=8.57, σ=12
- P(home) = Φ(μ/σ) = 76.3%
- Elo Las Vegas Aces 1642 vs Phoenix Mercury 1528
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).