WNBA
Los Angeles Sparks vs Las Vegas Aces
Sunday, May 10, 22:00
Consensus
Medium confidence · 56.8%Los Angeles Sparks
42.8%
Las Vegas Aces
57.2%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 32.6% | 67.4% |
| normal | 47.1% | 52.9% |
| elo | 47.4% | 52.6% |
- Los Angeles Sparks wPPG 0.99 (home 1.50, L-W-L-L-W)
- Las Vegas Aces wPPG 1.70 (away 3.00, W-L-W-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.45
- Expected score Los Angeles Sparks 62.1 vs Las Vegas Aces 65.5
- Margin μ=-0.88, σ=12
- P(home) = Φ(μ/σ) = 47.1%
- Elo Los Angeles Sparks 1564 vs Las Vegas Aces 1642
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).