WNBA
Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury
Monday, May 11, 00:30
Consensus
Low confidence · 41.8%Golden State Valkyries
45.2%
Phoenix Mercury
54.8%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 12.1% | 87.9% |
| normal | 81.0% | 19.0% |
| elo | 25.8% | 74.2% |
- Golden State Valkyries wPPG 0.62 (home 1.50, L-L-W-L-L)
- Phoenix Mercury wPPG 0.93 (away 1.50, L-L-W-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -1.24
- Expected score Golden State Valkyries 64.8 vs Phoenix Mercury 56.8
- Margin μ=10.54, σ=12
- P(home) = Φ(μ/σ) = 81.0%
- Elo Golden State Valkyries 1284 vs Phoenix Mercury 1528
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).