WNBA

Atlanta Dream vs Las Vegas Aces

Sunday, May 17, 19:00

Consensus

Medium confidence · 56.1%
Atlanta Dream
42.9%
Las Vegas Aces
57.1%

Per-model

ModelHomeAway
form31.6%68.4%
normal49.1%50.9%
elo45.7%54.3%
  • Atlanta Dream wPPG 0.88 (home 1.00, L-W-L-L-W)
  • Las Vegas Aces wPPG 1.70 (away 3.00, W-L-W-W-W)
  • Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.48
  • Expected score Atlanta Dream 56.4 vs Las Vegas Aces 59.2
  • Margin μ=-0.27, σ=12
  • P(home) = Φ(μ/σ) = 49.1%
  • Elo Atlanta Dream 1552 vs Las Vegas Aces 1642
  • Home-field bonus +60

Value bets

No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).

Predictions are statistical estimates, not financial advice. Bet responsibly.

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