WNBA
Connecticut Sun vs Las Vegas Aces
Friday, May 15, 23:30
Consensus
High confidence · 74.2%Connecticut Sun
16.1%
Las Vegas Aces
83.9%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 2.7% | 97.3% |
| normal | 43.7% | 56.3% |
| elo | 12.7% | 87.3% |
- Connecticut Sun wPPG 0.30 (home 1.20, L-L-L-L-W)
- Las Vegas Aces wPPG 1.70 (away 3.00, W-L-W-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -2.24
- Expected score Connecticut Sun 58.2 vs Las Vegas Aces 62.5
- Margin μ=-1.89, σ=12
- P(home) = Φ(μ/σ) = 43.7%
- Elo Connecticut Sun 1248 vs Las Vegas Aces 1642
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).