MLB
Boston Red Sox vs Detroit Tigers
Monday, Apr 20, 15:10
Consensus
High confidence · 80.9%Boston Red Sox
18.9%
Detroit Tigers
81.1%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 10.7% | 89.3% |
| poisson | 23.0% | 77.0% |
| elo | 23.9% | 76.1% |
- Boston Red Sox wPPG 0.89 (home 1.80, L-W-W-L-W)
- Detroit Tigers wPPG 1.19 (away 1.67, L-W-W-W-D)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -1.32
- xG Boston Red Sox 3.83 vs Detroit Tigers 6.22
- League avg: home 4.60 / away 4.40
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Boston Red Sox 1325 vs Detroit Tigers 1586
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).