UEFA Europa League
Sporting Braga vs SC Freiburg
Thursday, Apr 30, 19:00
Consensus
Medium confidence · 65.4%Sporting Braga
69.9%
Draw
17.8%
SC Freiburg
12.4%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 61.2% | 28.7% | 10.1% |
| poisson | 81.6% | 9.9% | 8.4% |
| elo | 51.2% | 23.7% | 25.1% |
- Sporting Braga wPPG 2.15 (home 2.00, D-W-W-W-W)
- SC Freiburg wPPG 1.90 (away 1.00, W-L-D-W-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 1.13
- xG Sporting Braga 3.59 vs SC Freiburg 1.17
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Sporting Braga 1638 vs SC Freiburg 1574
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).