Danish Superliga

AGF vs Sønderjyske Fodbold

Sunday, May 03, 16:00

Consensus

Medium confidence · 62.1%
AGF
61.4%
Draw
22.4%
Sønderjyske Fodbold
16.1%

Per-model

ModelHomeDrawAway
form63.0%27.9%9.1%
poisson58.2%21.3%20.5%
elo62.6%18.3%19.1%
  • AGF wPPG 2.75 (home 3.00, W-W-W-W-W)
  • Sønderjyske Fodbold wPPG 1.37 (away 1.57, L-L-W-W-W)
  • Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 1.21
  • xG AGF 1.74 vs Sønderjyske Fodbold 0.90
  • League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
  • Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
  • Elo AGF 1698 vs Sønderjyske Fodbold 1552
  • Home-field bonus +60

Value bets

No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).

Predictions are statistical estimates, not financial advice. Bet responsibly.

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