Danish Superliga
Odense Boldklub vs Randers FC
Sunday, Apr 19, 12:00
Consensus
Low confidence · 49.9%Odense Boldklub
50.5%
book 43.4%
Draw
25.1%
book 27.4%
Randers FC
24.4%
book 29.2%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| form | 56.7% | 30.6% | 12.7% |
| poisson | 48.1% | 21.3% | 30.6% |
| elo | 58.0% | 20.5% | 21.5% |
| market | 43.4% | 27.4% | 29.2% |
- Odense Boldklub wPPG 1.65 (home 1.25, L-W-W-L-D)
- Randers FC wPPG 0.95 (away 1.00, L-L-L-L-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.94
- xG Odense Boldklub 1.74 vs Randers FC 1.33
- League avg: home 1.50 / away 1.15
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Odense Boldklub 1528 vs Randers FC 1416
- Home-field bonus +60
- Devigged consensus of bookmaker 1X2 prices
Value bets
- home 2.15EV +8.6%Edge 7.1%Kelly 7.5%