Swiss Super League
FC Winterthur vs FC Luzern
Saturday, May 16, 16:00
Consensus
Low confidence · 49.4%FC Winterthur
49.8%
FC Luzern
50.2%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 46.5% | 53.5% |
| poisson | 52.1% | 47.9% |
| elo | 49.4% | 50.6% |
- FC Winterthur wPPG 0.65 (home 0.60, W-L-L-W-L)
- FC Luzern wPPG 0.74 (away 0.67, D-D-L-W-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta -0.09
- xG FC Winterthur 1.13 vs FC Luzern 1.06
- League avg: home 3.10 / away 2.90
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo FC Winterthur 1346 vs FC Luzern 1410
- Home-field bonus +60
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).