Swiss Super League
FC Lausanne-Sport vs FC Zürich
Saturday, Apr 25, 16:00
Consensus
High confidence · 76.7%FC Lausanne-Sport
76.1%
book 69.0%
FC Zürich
23.9%
book 31.0%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 80.2% | 19.8% |
| poisson | 85.0% | 15.0% |
| elo | 64.8% | 35.2% |
| market | 69.0% | 31.0% |
- FC Lausanne-Sport wPPG 0.97 (home 1.50, W-D-D-L-L)
- FC Zürich wPPG 0.77 (away 0.20, W-L-W-L-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.87
- xG FC Lausanne-Sport 1.03 vs FC Zürich 0.26
- League avg: home 3.10 / away 2.90
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo FC Lausanne-Sport 1430 vs FC Zürich 1384
- Home-field bonus +60
- Devigged consensus of bookmaker Money line prices
Value bets
- home 1.71EV +30.1%Edge 7.1%Kelly 42.4%