Swiss Super League
Grasshopper Club Zürich vs FC Luzern
Saturday, Apr 25, 16:00
Consensus
Medium confidence · 61.5%Grasshopper Club Zürich
60.2%
book 50.0%
FC Luzern
39.8%
book 50.0%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| poisson | 77.2% | 22.8% |
| elo | 51.3% | 48.7% |
| market | 50.0% | 50.0% |
- Grasshopper Club Zürich wPPG 0.71 (home 1.25, L-W-L-L-D)
- FC Luzern wPPG 0.74 (away 0.67, D-D-L-W-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 0.13
- xG Grasshopper Club Zürich 1.41 vs FC Luzern 0.60
- League avg: home 3.10 / away 2.90
- Dixon-Coles ρ=0.1
- Elo Grasshopper Club Zürich 1360 vs FC Luzern 1410
- Home-field bonus +60
- Devigged consensus of bookmaker Money line prices
Value bets
- home 2.40EV +44.5%Edge 10.2%Kelly 31.8%