NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns
Sunday, Apr 19, 19:30
Consensus
High confidence · 91.4%Oklahoma City Thunder
90.8%
book 88.0%
Phoenix Suns
9.2%
book 12.0%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 96.4% | 3.6% |
| normal | 89.6% | 10.4% |
| elo | 88.5% | 11.5% |
| market | 88.0% | 12.0% |
- Oklahoma City Thunder wPPG 1.30 (home 1.80, L-W-W-L-W)
- Phoenix Suns wPPG 0.80 (away 1.50, L-L-W-L-L)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 2.05
- Expected score Oklahoma City Thunder 112.4 vs Phoenix Suns 99.8
- Margin μ=15.14, σ=12
- P(home) = Φ(μ/σ) = 89.6%
- Elo Oklahoma City Thunder 1598 vs Phoenix Suns 1303
- Home-field bonus +60
- Devigged consensus of bookmaker Money line prices
Value bets
No edge detected vs current bookmaker odds (or odds unavailable).