NBA
San Antonio Spurs vs Portland Trail Blazers
Monday, Apr 20, 01:00
Consensus
High confidence · 92.6%San Antonio Spurs
93.9%
book 80.9%
Portland Trail Blazers
6.1%
book 19.1%
Per-model
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| form | 97.8% | 2.2% |
| normal | 99.3% | 0.7% |
| elo | 90.4% | 9.6% |
| market | 80.9% | 19.1% |
- San Antonio Spurs wPPG 1.87 (home 3.00, W-W-W-W-W)
- Portland Trail Blazers wPPG 1.05 (away 1.71, W-L-W-L-W)
- Home advantage +0.22, strength delta 2.39
- Expected score San Antonio Spurs 131.8 vs Portland Trail Blazers 104.9
- Margin μ=29.39, σ=12
- P(home) = Φ(μ/σ) = 99.3%
- Elo San Antonio Spurs 1661 vs Portland Trail Blazers 1331
- Home-field bonus +60
- Devigged consensus of bookmaker Money line prices
Value bets
- home 1.18EV +10.8%Edge 13.0%Kelly 59.8%